Reading the 90-day signal strip
Why direction beats magnitude, and the four strip shapes worth acting on.
A composite score is a single number standing in for thirteen weekly readings. Two accounts can post an identical 62 while one has climbed every week for a quarter and the other has fallen from 94 since April. The number cannot separate them. The shape can.
Four shapes are worth a rep's attention. A staircase — steady week-on-week gains — usually means a funded initiative rather than a single event, and it tends to hold. A spike is a one-week jump with no follow-through; treat it as a reason to research, not to call. A plateau at a high reading often means the evaluation has moved somewhere you cannot observe, which makes committee coverage the priority rather than another sequence. A decline from a high reading is the clearest signal in the set, and it usually means someone else won.
The practical rule: sort by direction first, magnitude second. A 58 climbing for six weeks is a better call than an 81 that peaked two months ago.